At the time that I am writing this article, the elections have yet to be held. Since I still can, my predictions for Iowa are that Pat Murphy will win Iowa’s first district, Ernst the senate seat, and Branstad remains governor of Iowa. Now that I gave my predictions [since it means so much, right?]
I can move on to how, regardless of whether or not my predictions turn out to be true, election day will be a sad day for the Democratic Party. It is expected that Republicans will widen their majority lead in the house, as well as a Republican takeover in the senate. Commentators from varying news sources are calling it a Republican wave, and it paints a dreary picture for Democrats this election cycle.
With all the doom and gloom predictions, I have pretty much accepted the oncoming Republican leadership and am apprehensive about what is to come. In my eyes, there are two possible outcomes with a Republican majority in both the House and Senate. On the one hand, I can see the Republican majority continuing to be the do-nothing, party obstructing the legislative process by calling to repeal the ACA for the umpteenth time or by holding the economy hostage over the debt ceiling.
I both hope for and dread this outcome. I hope for the continued gridlock because it makes a Democrat takeover in 2016 much, much easier because the current Republicans in the house have had the specter of Harry Reid and the Democrats in the Senate to blame for the ineffectiveness of congress. But, with a majority in both the House and Senate, any governmental ineffectiveness will rest solely on the Republican Party’s shoulders.
With only one party to blame, the likelihood of a Democrat takeover in 2016 is much higher. The outcome that may be more likely, however, is that the majority begins to pass some legislation with some hand reaching across the aisle. I, of course, want this outcome, I really do. It would be nice to see some bipartisan efforts made instead of the continued bickering that has characterized the last four years in Congress.
But it means that 2016 would be a much more competitive year for politics. A Republican presidential candidate that is able to cite party successes would be difficult for a Democratic candidate to counter. Either way, what is important is what will happen in the months following November 4 because it sets the tone for 2016. If a plethora of bills are passed, that is good news for Republicans when 2016 comes around.
If Congress does nothing, 2016 may pan out very poorly for the GOP.